
Anybody following the recent news in the financial markets could perhaps be forgiven for a bit of panic – between bailouts and bankruptcies, it’s a troubling time for our financial sector. However, farmers should recall that farming is the one occupation guaranteed to be in demand no matter what happens in the rest of the economy. The world needs food, feed and fuel, and always will, regardless of how crazy things might get on Wall Street.
Folks who have been in the agriculture business for a while will remember that back in the 1980s farmers learned the lessons that Wall Street is being taught: a little bit of leverage is a good thing, but too much leverage leads to disaster. That lesson was brought home hard for farmers (and I have to tell you, I don’t seem to remember any huge government bailouts of farmers who couldn’t make their mortgage payments) – keep your debt to equity ratio low enough that you can pay off your loans even if everything else goes south.
The USDA’s Economic Research Service backs up my gut feeling that farmers learned this lesson well – farmers have been reducing their effective level of debt almost every year for the last twenty years. Now, that doesn’t mean that farmers don’t carry debt – they do, it’s just part of farming. The nominal amount of debt has gone up tremendously over the same period – but the equity that the farmers have in reserve against that debt has gone up much faster. There’s nothing wrong with having a million-dollar loan outstanding – if you have a ten-million dollar farm. It’s when your loan is worth 105% of your assets that you’ve got a problem!
The Street could learn a lesson from the farmers of today, who have steadily decreased their debt-to-equity ratios and established some financial stability for the agriculture industry’s land holdings. Whether they actually learn that lesson is something we’ll all have to observe in the next few months.


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